In WNBA 2025-26 M. Caldwell was worth −13.1 points over expected per 100 possessions: −0.7 points of field-goal percentage above what his looks were worth, and −14.2 free throws drawn over expected.
| Measure | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Points over expected / 100 | −13.1 | 0.0 |
| Field goals attempted | 195 | — |
| Field goal % | 42.6 | 43.2 |
| Expected points per shot | 1.27 | — |
| free throws drawn attempted | 19 | 48.6 |
| free throws drawn over expected / 100 | −14.2 | 0.0 |
| Possessions | 209 | — |
| Percentile among qualified players | 6 | 50 |
Teams: ATL. Seasons covered for WNBA: 2020-21 to 2025-26.
What this does not measure: it blends playstyle, contact-seeking skill and officiating without separating them, it says nothing about defence beyond the lineup layer, and it is not evidence of referee bias.
Definitions: points over expected, shot-making over expected, free throws drawn over expected.
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