How many more or fewer free throws a player draws than the model expects from the same contexts, per 100 possessions, measured against that season's own league rate rather than a flat average.
FTAOE/100 = (drawn FTA - expected FTA) / possessions x 100
Verified: the shipped ftaoe equals fta minus xfta exactly, and ftaoe100 matches the leaderboard's per100 to within rounding.
| Lowest | 10th | Median | 90th | Highest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -18.1 | -9.9 | -0.7 | 9.2 | 27.4 |
The original metric this site was built on. Positive means a player gets to the line more than his situations usually produce. In the NBA build this counts shooting-foul free throws only; the European builds count all drawn free throws.
It blends playstyle, contact-seeking skill and officiating without separating them, and it is not evidence of bias.
Measured in free-throw attempts per 100 possessions, for a player.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.