In WNBA 2025-26 N. Collier was worth +21.7 points over expected per 100 possessions: +8.1 points of field-goal percentage above what his looks were worth, and +4.1 free throws drawn over expected.
| Measure | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Points over expected / 100 | +21.7 | 0.0 |
| Field goals attempted | 500 | — |
| Field goal % | 53.0 | 44.9 |
| Expected points per shot | 1.19 | — |
| free throws drawn attempted | 154 | 130.7 |
| free throws drawn over expected / 100 | +4.1 | 0.0 |
| Possessions | 569 | — |
| Percentile among qualified players | 75 | 50 |
Teams: MIN. Seasons covered for WNBA: 2020-21 to 2025-26.
What this does not measure: it blends playstyle, contact-seeking skill and officiating without separating them, it says nothing about defence beyond the lineup layer, and it is not evidence of referee bias.
Definitions: points over expected, shot-making over expected, free throws drawn over expected.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.