In Lega Basket Serie A 2025-26 Aubrey Dawkins was worth −7.9 points over expected per 100 possessions: +1.7 points of field-goal percentage above what his looks were worth, and −19.8 free throws drawn over expected.
| Measure | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Points over expected / 100 | −7.9 | 0.0 |
| Field goals attempted | 192 | — |
| Field goal % | 42.2 | 40.5 |
| Expected points per shot | 1.21 | — |
| free throws drawn attempted | 9 | 42.1 |
| free throws drawn over expected / 100 | −19.8 | 0.0 |
| Possessions | 167 | — |
| Percentile among qualified players | 1 | 50 |
Teams: Udine. Seasons covered for Lega Basket Serie A: 2020-21 to 2025-26.
What this does not measure: it blends playstyle, contact-seeking skill and officiating without separating them, it says nothing about defence beyond the lineup layer, and it is not evidence of referee bias.
Definitions: points over expected, shot-making over expected, free throws drawn over expected.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.