In Lega Basket Serie A 2023-24 Shabazz Napier was worth +27.8 points over expected per 100 possessions: +8.8 points of field-goal percentage above what his looks were worth, and +11.1 free throws drawn over expected.
| Measure | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Points over expected / 100 | +27.8 | 0.0 |
| Field goals attempted | 138 | — |
| Field goal % | 50.7 | 41.9 |
| Expected points per shot | 1.28 | — |
| free throws drawn attempted | 66 | 46.0 |
| free throws drawn over expected / 100 | +11.1 | 0.0 |
| Possessions | 180 | — |
| Percentile among qualified players | 89 | 50 |
Teams: Milano. Seasons covered for Lega Basket Serie A: 2020-21 to 2025-26.
What this does not measure: it blends playstyle, contact-seeking skill and officiating without separating them, it says nothing about defence beyond the lineup layer, and it is not evidence of referee bias.
Definitions: points over expected, shot-making over expected, free throws drawn over expected.
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