In Greek Basket League 2022-23 Hagins, Josh was worth −17.2 points over expected per 100 possessions: −2.1 points of field-goal percentage above what his looks were worth, and −18.4 free throws drawn over expected.
| Measure | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Points over expected / 100 | −17.2 | 0.0 |
| Field goals attempted | 139 | — |
| Field goal % | 39.6 | 41.7 |
| Expected points per shot | 1.15 | — |
| free throws drawn attempted | 9 | 35.3 |
| free throws drawn over expected / 100 | −18.4 | 0.0 |
| Possessions | 143 | — |
| Percentile among qualified players | 1 | 50 |
Teams: ARIS, ARI. Seasons covered for Greek Basket League: 2022-23 to 2025-26.
What this does not measure: it blends playstyle, contact-seeking skill and officiating without separating them, it says nothing about defence beyond the lineup layer, and it is not evidence of referee bias.
Definitions: points over expected, shot-making over expected, free throws drawn over expected.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.