In Greek Basket League 2024-25 Carberry, Tobin was worth −10.3 points over expected per 100 possessions: −4.4 points of field-goal percentage above what his looks were worth, and −2.5 free throws drawn over expected.
| Measure | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Points over expected / 100 | −10.3 | 0.0 |
| Field goals attempted | 157 | — |
| Field goal % | 38.2 | 42.6 |
| Expected points per shot | 1.19 | — |
| free throws drawn attempted | 41 | 45.4 |
| free throws drawn over expected / 100 | −2.5 | 0.0 |
| Possessions | 177 | — |
| Percentile among qualified players | 41 | 50 |
Teams: PER. Seasons covered for Greek Basket League: 2022-23 to 2025-26.
What this does not measure: it blends playstyle, contact-seeking skill and officiating without separating them, it says nothing about defence beyond the lineup layer, and it is not evidence of referee bias.
Definitions: points over expected, shot-making over expected, free throws drawn over expected.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.