In EuroLeague 2025-26 Kalinic, Nikola was worth −1.7 points over expected per 100 possessions: +0.8 points of field-goal percentage above what his looks were worth, and −2.7 free throws drawn over expected.
| Measure | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Points over expected / 100 | −1.7 | 0.0 |
| Field goals attempted | 174 | — |
| Field goal % | 45.4 | 44.6 |
| Expected points per shot | 1.32 | — |
| free throws drawn attempted | 47 | 52.5 |
| free throws drawn over expected / 100 | −2.7 | 0.0 |
| Possessions | 205 | — |
| Percentile among qualified players | 41 | 50 |
Teams: RED. Seasons covered for EuroLeague: 2020-21 to 2025-26.
What this does not measure: it blends playstyle, contact-seeking skill and officiating without separating them, it says nothing about defence beyond the lineup layer, and it is not evidence of referee bias.
Definitions: points over expected, shot-making over expected, free throws drawn over expected.
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