In Basketball Bundesliga 2023-24 Tyler Nelson was worth +15.9 points over expected per 100 possessions: +5.3 points of field-goal percentage above what his looks were worth, and −1.7 free throws drawn over expected.
| Measure | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Points over expected / 100 | +15.9 | 0.0 |
| Field goals attempted | 368 | — |
| Field goal % | 46.2 | 40.9 |
| Expected points per shot | 1.26 | — |
| free throws drawn attempted | 96 | 102.9 |
| free throws drawn over expected / 100 | −1.7 | 0.0 |
| Possessions | 399 | — |
| Percentile among qualified players | 46 | 50 |
Teams: HRO. Seasons covered for Basketball Bundesliga: 2023-24 to 2025-26.
What this does not measure: it blends playstyle, contact-seeking skill and officiating without separating them, it says nothing about defence beyond the lineup layer, and it is not evidence of referee bias.
Definitions: points over expected, shot-making over expected, free throws drawn over expected.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.