In Basketball Bundesliga 2023-24 Tim Coleman was worth −20.6 points over expected per 100 possessions: −11.6 points of field-goal percentage above what his looks were worth, and +3.9 free throws drawn over expected.
| Measure | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Points over expected / 100 | −20.6 | 0.0 |
| Field goals attempted | 117 | — |
| Field goal % | 33.3 | 44.9 |
| Expected points per shot | 1.27 | — |
| free throws drawn attempted | 39 | 34.1 |
| free throws drawn over expected / 100 | +3.9 | 0.0 |
| Possessions | 126 | — |
| Percentile among qualified players | 70 | 50 |
Teams: HDB. Seasons covered for Basketball Bundesliga: 2023-24 to 2025-26.
What this does not measure: it blends playstyle, contact-seeking skill and officiating without separating them, it says nothing about defence beyond the lineup layer, and it is not evidence of referee bias.
Definitions: points over expected, shot-making over expected, free throws drawn over expected.
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