In Basketball Bundesliga 2025-26 Mateo Seric was worth −3.9 points over expected per 100 possessions: −1.6 points of field-goal percentage above what his looks were worth, and −2.9 free throws drawn over expected.
| Measure | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Points over expected / 100 | −3.9 | 0.0 |
| Field goals attempted | 240 | — |
| Field goal % | 41.2 | 42.8 |
| Expected points per shot | 1.21 | — |
| free throws drawn attempted | 65 | 72.6 |
| free throws drawn over expected / 100 | −2.9 | 0.0 |
| Possessions | 257 | — |
| Percentile among qualified players | 44 | 50 |
Teams: HDB. Seasons covered for Basketball Bundesliga: 2023-24 to 2025-26.
What this does not measure: it blends playstyle, contact-seeking skill and officiating without separating them, it says nothing about defence beyond the lineup layer, and it is not evidence of referee bias.
Definitions: points over expected, shot-making over expected, free throws drawn over expected.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.