In Basketball Bundesliga 2024-25 Victor Bailey Jr was worth +9.7 points over expected per 100 possessions: +3.8 points of field-goal percentage above what his looks were worth, and −2.0 free throws drawn over expected.
| Measure | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Points over expected / 100 | +9.7 | 0.0 |
| Field goals attempted | 340 | — |
| Field goal % | 44.7 | 40.9 |
| Expected points per shot | 1.20 | — |
| free throws drawn attempted | 93 | 99.9 |
| free throws drawn over expected / 100 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Possessions | 353 | — |
| Percentile among qualified players | 48 | 50 |
Teams: CHE. Seasons covered for Basketball Bundesliga: 2023-24 to 2025-26.
What this does not measure: it blends playstyle, contact-seeking skill and officiating without separating them, it says nothing about defence beyond the lineup layer, and it is not evidence of referee bias.
Definitions: points over expected, shot-making over expected, free throws drawn over expected.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.