In ABA Liga 2023-24 Nikola Topić was worth +6.8 points over expected per 100 possessions: +4.4 points of field-goal percentage above what his looks were worth, and −3.5 free throws drawn over expected.
| Measure | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Points over expected / 100 | +6.8 | 0.0 |
| Field goals attempted | 194 | — |
| Field goal % | 50.5 | 46.1 |
| Expected points per shot | 1.26 | — |
| free throws drawn attempted | 48 | 55.5 |
| free throws drawn over expected / 100 | −3.5 | 0.0 |
| Possessions | 213 | — |
| Percentile among qualified players | 40 | 50 |
Teams: Mega, Crvena zvezda. Seasons covered for ABA Liga: 2020-21 to 2025-26.
What this does not measure: it blends playstyle, contact-seeking skill and officiating without separating them, it says nothing about defence beyond the lineup layer, and it is not evidence of referee bias.
Definitions: points over expected, shot-making over expected, free throws drawn over expected.
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