In ABA Liga 2024-25 Luka Bogavac was worth +1.3 points over expected per 100 possessions: +0.9 points of field-goal percentage above what his looks were worth, and −6.4 free throws drawn over expected.
| Measure | Value | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Points over expected / 100 | +1.3 | 0.0 |
| Field goals attempted | 337 | — |
| Field goal % | 45.1 | 44.2 |
| Expected points per shot | 1.26 | — |
| free throws drawn attempted | 73 | 95.8 |
| free throws drawn over expected / 100 | −6.4 | 0.0 |
| Possessions | 358 | — |
| Percentile among qualified players | 23 | 50 |
Teams: SC Derby. Seasons covered for ABA Liga: 2020-21 to 2025-26.
What this does not measure: it blends playstyle, contact-seeking skill and officiating without separating them, it says nothing about defence beyond the lineup layer, and it is not evidence of referee bias.
Definitions: points over expected, shot-making over expected, free throws drawn over expected.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.