Free throw rate counts trips to the line per shot. Free throws over expected asks whether a player draws more than his situations usually produce, which separates a player who seeks contact from one who simply shoots a lot of layups.
Free-throw attempts per field-goal attempt.
FTr = FTA / FGA
| Yes | No | |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusts for shot context | Yes | No |
| Baseline | That season's own league rate | None |
| Rewards a rim-heavy diet | Only above what the rim usually draws | Yes, fully |
| Unit | Attempts per 100 possessions vs expectation | Ratio |
Free throw rate is the simpler description. Free throws over expected is the one that isolates the part not explained by where a player shoots.
Neither distinguishes contact-seeking skill from the officiating a player happens to receive.
Definitions: Free throws drawn over expected per 100.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.