A. Wilson led WNBA in shot value in 2023-24 at +31.3 points over expected per 100 possessions. Shot quality, shot-making and drawn free throws in one number.
| # | Player | Team | Poss | Shot-making | Free throws | Points over expected / 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Wilson | LVA | 717 | +9.9 | +17.9 | +31.3 |
| 2 | B. Griner | PHO | 476 | +11.8 | +7.7 | +24.3 |
| 3 | J. Young | LVA | 551 | +9.8 | +2.4 | +24.1 |
| 4 | K. Brown | DAL | 200 | +7.2 | +16.9 | +23.8 |
| 5 | K. Samuelson | LAS | 201 | +8.9 | +0.3 | +23.1 |
| 6 | E. Delle Donne | WAS | 317 | +9.7 | −1.0 | +21.4 |
| 7 | B. Stewart | NYL | 724 | +4.6 | +9.0 | +17.7 |
| 8 | C. Gray | LVA | 539 | +10.0 | −4.5 | +17.5 |
| 9 | A. Gray | ATL | 550 | +1.7 | +11.8 | +13.7 |
| 10 | B. Jones | CON | 180 | +3.1 | +11.6 | +13.7 |
| 11 | K. Plum | LVA | 608 | +4.5 | +0.2 | +12.1 |
| 12 | M. Gustafson | PHO | 230 | +6.4 | +1.2 | +11.9 |
| 13 | N. Ogwumike | LAS | 583 | +4.4 | +3.0 | +11.4 |
| 14 | N. Collier | MIN | 709 | +3.6 | +4.9 | +10.8 |
| 15 | A. Boston | IND | 483 | +4.1 | +6.4 | +10.7 |
| 16 | J. Shepard | MIN | 155 | +1.8 | +11.1 | +10.6 |
| 17 | L. Clarendon | LAS | 252 | +3.3 | +0.7 | +10.1 |
| 18 | S. Ionescu | NYL | 515 | +2.7 | −3.7 | +9.6 |
| 19 | S. Sabally | DAL | 621 | +0.3 | +7.1 | +9.2 |
| 20 | O. Nelson-Ododa | CON | 161 | +0.9 | +14.0 | +8.9 |
| 21 | T. Hayes | CON | 405 | +0.6 | +8.3 | +7.6 |
| 22 | A. Atkins | WAS | 280 | +2.6 | −0.3 | +6.5 |
| 23 | D. Taurasi | PHO | 392 | +0.9 | +4.7 | +6.3 |
| 24 | C. Parker | LVA | 153 | +3.2 | −1.3 | +6.0 |
| 25 | S. Walker-Kimbrough | WAS | 221 | +2.3 | −3.4 | +5.7 |
Ranked over 99 qualified players. This measures points over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.
Seasons covered: 2020-21 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.