B. Griner led WNBA in shot value in 2021-22 at +23.3 points over expected per 100 possessions. Shot quality, shot-making and drawn free throws in one number.
| # | Player | Team | Poss | Shot-making | Free throws | Points over expected / 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Griner | PHO | 509 | +10.3 | +5.7 | +23.3 |
| 2 | J. Young | LVA | 350 | +9.9 | +3.7 | +20.6 |
| 3 | L. Cambage | LVA | 313 | +8.8 | +11.0 | +20.3 |
| 4 | M. Russell | SEA | 198 | +11.6 | +3.3 | +19.2 |
| 5 | S. Fowles | MIN | 401 | +9.3 | +5.7 | +18.1 |
| 6 | R. Williams | LVA | 267 | +6.6 | −1.0 | +17.8 |
| 7 | S. Diggins-Smith | PHO | 486 | +1.2 | +16.6 | +16.6 |
| 8 | E. Prince | SEA | 148 | +5.5 | −3.2 | +15.0 |
| 9 | A. Quigley | CHI | 261 | +6.9 | −6.8 | +14.7 |
| 10 | A. Powers | MIN | 185 | +0.9 | +12.5 | +14.4 |
| 11 | S. Whitcomb | NYL | 287 | +9.3 | −10.3 | +14.3 |
| 12 | J. Jones | CON | 431 | +4.5 | +6.3 | +13.2 |
| 13 | D. Hamby | LVA | 295 | +5.1 | +14.4 | +13.0 |
| 14 | B. Stewart | SEA | 489 | +2.0 | +10.1 | +13.0 |
| 15 | K. McBride | MIN | 345 | +3.7 | +2.5 | +12.9 |
| 16 | K. Plum | LVA | 335 | +3.7 | +0.2 | +12.1 |
| 17 | A. Wilson | LVA | 536 | −0.8 | +13.5 | +12.0 |
| 18 | A. Atkins | WAS | 443 | +3.3 | +2.6 | +9.7 |
| 19 | D. Taurasi | PHO | 239 | +0.4 | +8.1 | +9.3 |
| 20 | B. Jones | CON | 380 | +2.5 | +4.9 | +7.9 |
| 21 | N. Ogwumike | LAS | 243 | +7.3 | −5.9 | +7.7 |
| 22 | A. Gray | DAL | 264 | +0.9 | +3.8 | +7.4 |
| 23 | N. Hiedeman | CON | 193 | +2.3 | +1.6 | +7.0 |
| 24 | S. Bird | SEA | 268 | +6.0 | −11.5 | +6.4 |
| 25 | S. Sabally | DAL | 200 | −2.0 | +12.7 | +5.6 |
Ranked over 99 qualified players. This measures points over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.
Seasons covered: 2020-21 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.