NBA shot value leaders, 2024-25

Who led NBA in shot value in 2024-25?

Ty Jerome led NBA in shot value in 2024-25 at +23.0 points over expected per 100 possessions. Shot quality, shot-making and drawn free throws in one number.

NBA shot value leaders, 2024-25 — top 25 of 288 qualified players, points over expected per 100 possessions

#	Player	Team	Poss	Shot-making	Free throws	Points over expected / 100
1	Ty Jerome	CLE	659	+9.1	+0.7	+23.0
2	Jimmy Butler III	MIA / GSW	697	−0.5	+27.4	+22.4
3	Nikola Jokić	DEN	1501	+10.1	+1.4	+21.8
4	DeMar DeRozan	SAC	1354	+5.5	+10.6	+20.8
5	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	OKC	1816	+5.2	+9.6	+20.6
6	Kevin Durant	PHX	1303	+8.6	+2.3	+19.7
7	Zion Williamson	NOP	607	+4.8	+19.2	+18.3
8	Harrison Barnes	SAS	706	+4.0	+8.3	+17.6
9	Damian Lillard	MIL	1152	+1.9	+8.6	+15.0
10	Jaren Jackson Jr.	MEM	1297	+4.6	+7.5	+14.7
11	Keon Ellis	SAC	494	+6.5	−3.9	+14.5
12	Jalen Brunson	NYK	1309	+4.2	+6.1	+14.2
13	Luka Dončić	DAL / LAL	1188	+3.0	+10.5	+14.2
14	Norman Powell	LAC	988	+4.1	+4.1	+13.9
15	Aaron Gordon	DEN	560	+1.0	+11.8	+13.9
16	Joel Embiid	PHI	399	−1.0	+16.5	+13.5
17	Karl-Anthony Towns	NYK	1406	+2.5	+8.3	+13.5
18	Austin Reaves	LAL	1168	+3.3	+5.6	+13.5
19	Seth Curry	CHA	326	+7.2	−9.5	+13.3
20	Jonas Valančiūnas	WAS / SAC	731	+5.9	+1.9	+12.8
21	Domantas Sabonis	SAC	1085	+5.9	+3.2	+12.4
22	Kristaps Porziņģis	BOS	623	+1.6	+8.2	+12.4
23	Zach LaVine	CHI / SAC	1377	+4.8	−0.4	+12.3
24	Payton Pritchard	BOS	812	+8.0	−12.8	+12.2
25	Aaron Nesmith	IND	387	+5.2	−3.4	+12.1

Ranked over 288 qualified players. This measures points over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.

Seasons covered: 2020-21 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.