NBA shot value leaders, 2023-24

Who led NBA in shot value in 2023-24?

Joel Embiid led NBA in shot value in 2023-24 at +26.3 points over expected per 100 possessions. Shot quality, shot-making and drawn free throws in one number.

NBA shot value leaders, 2023-24 — top 25 of 270 qualified players, points over expected per 100 possessions

#	Player	Team	Poss	Shot-making	Free throws	Points over expected / 100
1	Joel Embiid	PHI	1042	+5.6	+16.5	+26.3
2	Jimmy Butler III	MIA	936	+1.2	+20.6	+21.8
3	Nikola Jokić	DEN	1557	+9.5	+1.2	+19.2
4	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	OKC	1691	+4.4	+9.6	+17.6
5	DeMar DeRozan	CHI	1475	+1.9	+14.4	+16.6
6	Luka Dončić	DAL	1926	+5.6	+7.1	+16.4
7	Norman Powell	LAC	788	+5.6	+0.5	+15.8
8	Kevin Durant	PHX	1619	+6.6	+1.7	+15.7
9	Moritz Wagner	ORL	662	+4.1	+9.9	+14.9
10	Grayson Allen	PHX	728	+5.5	−2.9	+14.9
11	James Harden	LAC	957	+1.2	+11.1	+14.7
12	Devin Booker	PHX	1427	+4.6	+4.7	+14.5
13	Zion Williamson	NOP	1311	+2.3	+16.8	+14.1
14	Kristaps Porziņģis	BOS	854	+2.0	+8.8	+13.0
15	Myles Turner	IND	1036	+3.5	+9.5	+13.0
16	Karl-Anthony Towns	MIN	1111	+3.9	+3.6	+13.0
17	Jalen Brunson	NYK	1685	+3.6	+3.8	+12.6
18	Kelly Olynyk	UTA / TOR	636	+5.9	+2.2	+12.5
19	Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	1722	+1.6	+19.2	+12.4
20	Nick Richards	CHA	497	+1.6	+14.8	+12.3
21	Jalen Smith	IND	437	+6.3	+0.7	+12.3
22	LeBron James	LAL	1485	+4.1	+6.1	+12.2
23	Kawhi Leonard	LAC	1192	+5.2	−1.6	+12.0
24	Collin Sexton	UTA	1129	+2.4	+6.2	+11.8
25	Stephen Curry	GSW	1487	+4.5	−3.5	+11.4

Ranked over 270 qualified players. This measures points over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.

Seasons covered: 2020-21 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.