Jimmy Butler III led NBA in foul-drawing in 2022-23 at +21.9 shooting-foul free throws over expected per 100 possessions. Measured against the season's own league rate, not a flat average.
| # | Player | Team | Poss | FTA | Expected | shooting-foul free throws over expected / 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jimmy Butler III | MIA | 1047 | 432 | 202.9 | +21.9 |
| 2 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 1614 | 662 | 310.3 | +21.8 |
| 3 | Mason Plumlee | CHA / LAC | 647 | 263 | 123.7 | +21.5 |
| 4 | Nick Richards | CHA | 400 | 161 | 77.1 | +21.0 |
| 5 | Rudy Gobert | MIN | 724 | 284 | 138.8 | +20.1 |
| 6 | Joel Embiid | PHI | 1685 | 646 | 321.3 | +19.3 |
| 7 | Harrison Barnes | SAC | 901 | 334 | 172.8 | +17.9 |
| 8 | Zion Williamson | NOP | 583 | 214 | 114.7 | +17.0 |
| 9 | Bennedict Mathurin | IND | 1082 | 388 | 209.7 | +16.5 |
| 10 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 1645 | 585 | 319.6 | +16.1 |
| 11 | Moritz Wagner | ORL | 471 | 161 | 89.3 | +15.2 |
| 12 | Paolo Banchero | ORL | 1338 | 460 | 256.6 | +15.2 |
| 13 | Josh Okogie | PHX | 468 | 160 | 90.1 | +14.9 |
| 14 | Oshae Brissett | IND | 360 | 121 | 69.5 | +14.3 |
| 15 | Dwight Powell | DAL | 361 | 120 | 68.9 | +14.2 |
| 16 | Andre Drummond | CHI | 355 | 118 | 68.4 | +14.0 |
| 17 | Isaiah Jackson | IND | 371 | 123 | 72.0 | +13.7 |
| 18 | Austin Reaves | LAL | 594 | 196 | 116.1 | +13.4 |
| 19 | Mitchell Robinson | NYK | 334 | 106 | 63.3 | +12.8 |
| 20 | Kevon Looney | GSW | 424 | 135 | 81.0 | +12.7 |
| 21 | Daniel Gafford | WAS | 500 | 158 | 94.7 | +12.7 |
| 22 | Luka Dončić | DAL | 1725 | 539 | 332.6 | +12.0 |
| 23 | Anthony Davis | LAL | 1114 | 348 | 215.8 | +11.9 |
| 24 | Jaren Jackson Jr. | MEM | 913 | 279 | 174.5 | +11.4 |
| 25 | Edmond Sumner | BKN | 322 | 98 | 61.4 | +11.4 |
Ranked over 278 qualified players. This measures shooting-foul free throws over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.
Seasons covered: 2020-21 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.