Rudy Gobert led NBA in foul-drawing in 2020-21 at +23.2 shooting-foul free throws over expected per 100 possessions. Measured against the season's own league rate, not a flat average.
| # | Player | Team | Poss | FTA | Expected | shooting-foul free throws over expected / 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rudy Gobert | UTA | 767 | 315 | 137.0 | +23.2 |
| 2 | Dwight Howard | PHI | 446 | 176 | 78.8 | +21.8 |
| 3 | Zion Williamson | NOP | 1231 | 473 | 218.8 | +20.6 |
| 4 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 1372 | 505 | 242.6 | +19.1 |
| 5 | Jimmy Butler III | MIA | 894 | 326 | 160.1 | +18.6 |
| 6 | DeMar DeRozan | SAS | 1078 | 387 | 193.7 | +17.9 |
| 7 | Jarrett Allen | BKN / CLE | 634 | 225 | 113.1 | +17.6 |
| 8 | Joel Embiid | PHI | 1136 | 400 | 201.4 | +17.5 |
| 9 | Moses Brown | OKC | 307 | 106 | 54.6 | +16.7 |
| 10 | Jaxson Hayes | NOP | 325 | 106 | 57.8 | +14.8 |
| 11 | Montrezl Harrell | LAL | 691 | 222 | 123.7 | +14.2 |
| 12 | Hamidou Diallo | OKC / DET | 544 | 174 | 96.8 | +14.2 |
| 13 | Alex Len | TOR / WAS | 347 | 108 | 60.3 | +13.8 |
| 14 | De'Aaron Fox | SAC | 1288 | 379 | 228.8 | +11.7 |
| 15 | Ben Simmons | PHI | 770 | 221 | 133.9 | +11.3 |
| 16 | Khem Birch | ORL / TOR | 426 | 123 | 75.3 | +11.2 |
| 17 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 502 | 143 | 88.3 | +10.9 |
| 18 | Juancho Hernangomez | MIN | 309 | 89 | 55.6 | +10.8 |
| 19 | Cody Zeller | CHA | 368 | 104 | 64.5 | +10.7 |
| 20 | Chris Boucher | TOR | 628 | 175 | 111.7 | +10.1 |
| 21 | Jerami Grant | DET | 1031 | 285 | 182.7 | +9.9 |
| 22 | Wendell Carter Jr. | CHI / ORL | 552 | 149 | 96.5 | +9.5 |
| 23 | Bam Adebayo | MIA | 992 | 265 | 175.4 | +9.0 |
| 24 | Jeff Teague | BOS / MIL | 345 | 92 | 61.2 | +8.9 |
| 25 | Andre Drummond | CLE / LAL | 686 | 180 | 118.9 | +8.9 |
Ranked over 270 qualified players. This measures shooting-foul free throws over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.
Seasons covered: 2020-21 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.