Erick Green led Lega Basket Serie A in shot-making in 2025-26 at +30.7 field-goal points over expected per 100 possessions. Shot quality is already priced out, so this is shooting alone.
| # | Player | Team | FGA | FG% | Expected FG% | FG points over expected / 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erick Green | Cantù | 179 | 55.3 | 40.5 | +30.7 |
| 2 | Giampaolo Ricci | Milano | 157 | 50.3 | 41.8 | +23.2 |
| 3 | Dominik Olejniczak | Tortona | 188 | 67.0 | 54.6 | +21.3 |
| 4 | Peyton Aldridge | Trentino | 174 | 51.1 | 42.8 | +20.3 |
| 5 | Kyle Wiltjer | Venezia | 276 | 50.7 | 44.3 | +14.9 |
| 6 | Nick McGlynn | Sassari | 198 | 64.1 | 55.8 | +13.6 |
| 7 | Armoni Brooks | Milano | 326 | 48.5 | 42.9 | +12.7 |
| 8 | Arturs Strautins | Tortona | 177 | 48.6 | 43.2 | +11.7 |
| 9 | Carlos Marshall Jr. | Sassari | 185 | 48.1 | 42.9 | +11.5 |
| 10 | Miro Bilan | Brescia | 291 | 59.1 | 52.6 | +11.1 |
| 11 | Jason Burnell | Brescia | 271 | 49.4 | 44.1 | +10.8 |
| 12 | Jordan Bayehe | Trentino | 152 | 57.2 | 51.6 | +10.5 |
| 13 | Ed Croswell | Napoli / Treviso | 179 | 70.4 | 63.7 | +10.0 |
| 14 | Nikola Ivanovic | Brescia | 218 | 43.1 | 39.3 | +8.9 |
| 15 | Jordan Parks | Venezia | 229 | 53.7 | 50.8 | +8.4 |
| 16 | Markel Brown | Trieste | 187 | 47.1 | 42.7 | +8.3 |
| 17 | Giordano Bortolani | Cantù | 250 | 47.6 | 43.8 | +7.9 |
| 18 | Andrea De Nicolao | Cantù | 94 | 41.5 | 38.2 | +7.9 |
| 19 | Laurynas Beliauskas | Sassari | 171 | 43.9 | 41.0 | +7.8 |
| 20 | Prentiss Hubb | Tortona | 268 | 41.8 | 38.6 | +7.8 |
| 21 | JT Thor | Reggio Emilia | 143 | 50.3 | 48.0 | +7.7 |
| 22 | Jahmi'us Ramsey | Trieste | 374 | 50.5 | 47.0 | +7.1 |
| 23 | Aubrey Dawkins | Udine | 192 | 42.2 | 40.5 | +6.7 |
| 24 | Derrick Alston | Bologna | 222 | 48.2 | 45.6 | +6.6 |
| 25 | Amedeo Della Valle | Brescia | 299 | 40.8 | 38.4 | +6.0 |
Ranked over 110 qualified players. This measures field-goal points over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.
Seasons covered: 2020-21 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.