Billy Baron led Lega Basket Serie A in shot value in 2022-23 at +32.3 points over expected per 100 possessions. Shot quality, shot-making and drawn free throws in one number.
| # | Player | Team | Poss | Shot-making | Free throws | Points over expected / 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Baron | Milano | 185 | +10.7 | +5.3 | +32.3 |
| 2 | Vasilis Charalampopoulos | Pesaro | 201 | +8.4 | +8.8 | +26.5 |
| 3 | Chris Dowe | Sassari | 266 | +5.8 | +11.2 | +22.5 |
| 4 | Amedeo Della Valle | Brescia | 379 | −0.1 | +18.3 | +22.3 |
| 5 | Kyle Weems | Bologna | 196 | +6.8 | +2.4 | +18.5 |
| 6 | Michele Vitali | Reggio Emilia | 130 | +4.5 | +1.1 | +15.7 |
| 7 | Derek Willis | Venezia | 234 | +3.5 | +4.4 | +15.4 |
| 8 | Devon Hall | Milano | 158 | +3.2 | +6.2 | +14.2 |
| 9 | Brandon Davies | Milano | 265 | +3.7 | +13.6 | +14.1 |
| 10 | John Petrucelli | Brescia | 223 | +3.9 | +0.4 | +13.3 |
| 11 | Kruize Pinkins | Scafati | 303 | +0.6 | +12.4 | +13.0 |
| 12 | Mitchell Watt | Venezia | 311 | +6.2 | +4.3 | +12.6 |
| 13 | Daniel Hackett | Bologna | 150 | +5.7 | +1.3 | +12.5 |
| 14 | Marco Spissu | Venezia | 216 | +7.0 | −11.9 | +12.5 |
| 15 | Nicolò Melli | Milano | 198 | +5.8 | +1.2 | +12.3 |
| 16 | Octavius Ellis | Treviso | 129 | +4.6 | +10.9 | +11.8 |
| 17 | Eimantas Bendzius | Sassari | 312 | +4.2 | −1.1 | +11.7 |
| 18 | Jeff Brooks | Venezia | 127 | +7.4 | −2.2 | +10.4 |
| 19 | Filip Kruslin | Sassari | 244 | +4.3 | −4.5 | +10.3 |
| 20 | Elijah Stewart | Napoli | 257 | −0.9 | +9.0 | +10.0 |
| 21 | Paulius Sorokas | Treviso | 275 | +0.1 | +6.0 | +9.8 |
| 22 | Ousmane Diop | Sassari | 241 | +3.5 | +9.9 | +9.7 |
| 23 | Nick Perkins | Brindisi | 389 | +2.8 | +11.4 | +9.7 |
| 24 | Mouhamet Rassoul Diouf | Reggio Emilia | 153 | −1.7 | +19.3 | +9.7 |
| 25 | Matteo Spagnolo | Trentino | 278 | −3.0 | +18.4 | +9.5 |
Ranked over 118 qualified players. This measures points over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.
Seasons covered: 2020-21 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.