Ousman Krubally led Lega Basket Serie A in shot value in 2020-21 at +36.5 points over expected per 100 possessions. Shot quality, shot-making and drawn free throws in one number.
| # | Player | Team | Poss | Shot-making | Free throws | Points over expected / 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ousman Krubally | Brindisi | 125 | +14.2 | +30.3 | +36.5 |
| 2 | Eimantas Bendzius | Sassari | 331 | +9.2 | +10.5 | +31.1 |
| 3 | D'Angelo Harrison | Brindisi | 284 | +4.3 | +14.3 | +24.7 |
| 4 | Zach LeDay | Milano | 275 | +2.9 | +12.6 | +22.0 |
| 5 | Marco Belinelli | Bologna | 174 | +2.0 | +18.5 | +22.0 |
| 6 | Miro Bilan | Sassari | 372 | +5.6 | +15.5 | +19.9 |
| 7 | Christian Mekowulu | Treviso | 278 | +1.8 | +21.3 | +19.4 |
| 8 | Austin Daye | Venezia | 231 | +10.6 | −8.8 | +18.9 |
| 9 | Jaime Smith | Cantù | 246 | +3.1 | +6.1 | +16.1 |
| 10 | Michal Sokolowski | Treviso | 257 | +1.4 | +7.1 | +15.9 |
| 11 | Wesley Saunders | Bologna | 153 | +5.0 | +6.7 | +15.6 |
| 12 | Giordano Bortolani | Brescia | 127 | +5.2 | −3.9 | +13.2 |
| 13 | Marco Spissu | Sassari | 304 | +4.0 | −1.6 | +12.9 |
| 14 | Simone Zanotti | Pesaro | 163 | +6.7 | +2.8 | +12.6 |
| 15 | Shavon Shields | Milano | 264 | +3.9 | +4.5 | +12.6 |
| 16 | Michael Roll | Milano | 134 | +8.8 | −18.0 | +12.3 |
| 17 | Frantz Massenat | Pesaro | 136 | +2.8 | +6.7 | +12.1 |
| 18 | Jason Burnell | Sassari | 294 | +7.7 | −1.9 | +11.8 |
| 19 | Luis Scola | Varese | 424 | +2.8 | +8.1 | +11.8 |
| 20 | Luigi Datome | Milano | 147 | +4.5 | −9.7 | +11.6 |
| 21 | Frank Elegar | Reggio Emilia | 210 | −1.9 | +19.8 | +11.3 |
| 22 | Daulton Hommes | Cremona | 349 | +3.4 | −2.6 | +10.4 |
| 23 | Vince Hunter | Bologna | 185 | +1.6 | +8.7 | +10.4 |
| 24 | Mitchell Watt | Venezia | 299 | +5.5 | +8.2 | +10.3 |
| 25 | Stefano Tonut | Venezia | 319 | +2.7 | +2.1 | +10.3 |
Ranked over 113 qualified players. This measures points over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.
Seasons covered: 2020-21 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.