Michael Roll led Lega Basket Serie A in shot-making in 2020-21 at +25.1 field-goal points over expected per 100 possessions. Shot quality is already priced out, so this is shooting alone.
| # | Player | Team | FGA | FG% | Expected FG% | FG points over expected / 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Roll | Milano | 138 | 48.6 | 39.7 | +25.1 |
| 2 | Austin Daye | Venezia | 191 | 50.8 | 40.2 | +24.2 |
| 3 | Sergio Rodriguez | Milano | 189 | 45.5 | 39.1 | +21.0 |
| 4 | Eimantas Bendzius | Sassari | 270 | 50.7 | 41.5 | +20.4 |
| 5 | Ousman Krubally | Brindisi | 86 | 65.1 | 50.9 | +19.3 |
| 6 | Luigi Datome | Milano | 144 | 46.5 | 42.0 | +16.4 |
| 7 | Filip Kruslin | Sassari | 173 | 44.5 | 39.3 | +14.8 |
| 8 | Michael Bramos | Venezia | 126 | 43.7 | 38.7 | +14.7 |
| 9 | Jason Burnell | Sassari | 250 | 54.8 | 47.1 | +14.0 |
| 10 | Giordano Bortolani | Brescia | 114 | 48.2 | 43.0 | +13.4 |
| 11 | Simone Zanotti | Pesaro | 137 | 56.2 | 49.5 | +11.9 |
| 12 | Dusan Ristic | Brescia | 120 | 57.5 | 51.9 | +10.4 |
| 13 | Daulton Hommes | Cremona | 329 | 46.8 | 43.4 | +10.3 |
| 14 | Nick Perkins | Brindisi | 243 | 56.0 | 49.9 | +10.2 |
| 15 | Marco Spissu | Sassari | 236 | 44.1 | 40.0 | +10.0 |
| 16 | Mattia Udom | Brindisi | 110 | 50.0 | 44.6 | +9.9 |
| 17 | Miro Bilan | Sassari | 285 | 62.1 | 56.5 | +9.2 |
| 18 | Davide Alviti | Trieste | 232 | 46.6 | 43.9 | +9.1 |
| 19 | Mitchell Watt | Venezia | 225 | 61.3 | 55.8 | +8.6 |
| 20 | David Logan | Treviso | 388 | 44.3 | 41.4 | +8.3 |
| 21 | D'Angelo Harrison | Brindisi | 233 | 42.5 | 38.2 | +8.0 |
| 22 | Darius Thompson | Brindisi | 265 | 49.8 | 45.1 | +7.6 |
| 23 | Zach LeDay | Milano | 228 | 54.4 | 51.5 | +7.5 |
| 24 | Maarten Leunen | Cantù | 119 | 42.0 | 38.3 | +7.5 |
| 25 | Luis Scola | Varese | 351 | 49.0 | 46.2 | +7.1 |
Ranked over 113 qualified players. This measures field-goal points over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.
Seasons covered: 2020-21 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.