Peters, Alec led Greek Basket League in shot-making in 2024-25 at +29.2 field-goal points over expected per 100 possessions. Shot quality is already priced out, so this is shooting alone.
| # | Player | Team | FGA | FG% | Expected FG% | FG points over expected / 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peters, Alec | OLY | 196 | 58.2 | 44.7 | +29.2 |
| 2 | Nunn, Kendrick | PAO | 268 | 52.2 | 42.0 | +24.1 |
| 3 | Griffin, Sam | LAV | 136 | 54.4 | 43.6 | +22.7 |
| 4 | Vezenkov, Sasha | OLY | 280 | 62.5 | 50.9 | +21.6 |
| 5 | Grant, Jerian | PAO | 146 | 52.1 | 42.8 | +20.0 |
| 6 | Sloukas, Konstantinos | PAO | 131 | 48.1 | 39.0 | +18.6 |
| 7 | Goudelock, Andrew | KOL | 217 | 46.5 | 39.5 | +18.3 |
| 8 | Bryce, C. J. | AEK | 118 | 55.1 | 47.6 | +17.4 |
| 9 | Wahab, Qudus Abolaji | LAV | 114 | 71.9 | 60.4 | +15.9 |
| 10 | Eddie, Jarell | PER | 231 | 43.3 | 38.2 | +14.8 |
| 11 | Davis, Devin | PAN | 120 | 55.0 | 46.1 | +13.8 |
| 12 | Mantzoukas, Lefteris | ARI / MAR | 173 | 45.1 | 40.6 | +12.5 |
| 13 | Tsalbouris, Giorgos | PAN | 153 | 46.4 | 42.1 | +12.3 |
| 14 | Kuzminskas, Mindaugas | AEK | 157 | 54.1 | 49.2 | +11.4 |
| 15 | Zougris, Evangelos | PER | 103 | 67.0 | 60.0 | +10.3 |
| 16 | Cannady, Devin Riley | PAN | 147 | 44.2 | 39.2 | +10.1 |
| 17 | Reynolds, Cameron | MAR | 284 | 46.1 | 42.8 | +9.4 |
| 18 | Kalaitzakis, Panagiotis | PAO | 137 | 55.5 | 51.5 | +8.7 |
| 19 | Mitoglou, Dinos | PAO | 171 | 53.8 | 48.5 | +7.8 |
| 20 | Vaughn, Rashad | LAV | 211 | 44.5 | 41.7 | +7.7 |
| 21 | Hernangomez, Juan | PAO | 161 | 52.8 | 49.3 | +7.3 |
| 22 | Forrester, Jake | PBC | 101 | 61.4 | 56.9 | +6.9 |
| 23 | Harris, C. J. | PER | 161 | 46.6 | 44.2 | +6.7 |
| 24 | Perrantes, London | KOL | 163 | 42.9 | 40.6 | +6.3 |
| 25 | Reynolds, Shavar | PBC | 205 | 46.8 | 43.7 | +5.9 |
Ranked over 70 qualified players. This measures field-goal points over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.
Seasons covered: 2022-23 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.