Biberovic, Tarik led EuroLeague in shot-making in 2023-24 at +35.3 field-goal points over expected per 100 possessions. Shot quality is already priced out, so this is shooting alone.
| # | Player | Team | FGA | FG% | Expected FG% | FG points over expected / 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Biberovic, Tarik | ULK | 113 | 56.6 | 42.6 | +35.3 |
| 2 | Yabusele, Guerschon | MAD | 126 | 56.3 | 45.4 | +20.7 |
| 3 | Peters, Alec | OLY | 282 | 55.7 | 47.6 | +19.6 |
| 4 | Ibaka, Serge | MUN | 249 | 59.8 | 49.8 | +19.3 |
| 5 | Canaan, Isaiah | OLY | 275 | 49.1 | 41.3 | +19.3 |
| 6 | Musa, Dzanan | MAD | 282 | 53.5 | 44.7 | +17.5 |
| 7 | Hezonja, Mario | MAD | 327 | 49.2 | 42.6 | +17.4 |
| 8 | Deck, Gabriel | MAD | 149 | 58.4 | 48.9 | +17.2 |
| 9 | Grigonis, Marius | PAN | 240 | 49.2 | 42.2 | +17.0 |
| 10 | Vesely, Jan | BAR | 264 | 63.6 | 54.2 | +15.8 |
| 11 | Sedekerskis, Tadas | BAS | 163 | 61.3 | 53.0 | +15.2 |
| 12 | Papagiannis, Georgios | ULK | 118 | 61.9 | 56.0 | +14.8 |
| 13 | Mirotic, Nikola | MIL | 215 | 52.6 | 45.2 | +14.7 |
| 14 | Blatt, Tamir | TEL | 172 | 42.4 | 35.9 | +14.5 |
| 15 | Thomas, Matt | BER | 232 | 44.8 | 40.0 | +13.2 |
| 16 | Howard, Markus | BAS | 506 | 43.9 | 38.7 | +12.9 |
| 17 | Tonut, Stefano | MIL | 123 | 51.2 | 47.2 | +12.9 |
| 18 | Jackson, Edwin | ASV | 116 | 51.7 | 43.7 | +12.8 |
| 19 | Nunnally, James | PAR | 269 | 52.4 | 46.5 | +12.6 |
| 20 | Caboclo, Bruno | PAR | 145 | 63.4 | 57.8 | +11.5 |
| 21 | Shields, Shavon | MIL | 334 | 47.6 | 42.6 | +11.0 |
| 22 | Nedovic, Nemanja | RED | 314 | 48.4 | 44.1 | +10.9 |
| 23 | Willis, Derek | IST | 137 | 48.2 | 44.6 | +10.9 |
| 24 | Laprovittola, Nicolas | BAR | 263 | 46.0 | 41.4 | +10.8 |
| 25 | Sloukas, Kostas | PAN | 217 | 47.5 | 42.5 | +10.1 |
Ranked over 147 qualified players. This measures field-goal points over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.
Seasons covered: 2020-21 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.