Andreas Obst led Basketball Bundesliga in shot-making in 2023-24 at +31.8 field-goal points over expected per 100 possessions. Shot quality is already priced out, so this is shooting alone.
| # | Player | Team | FGA | FG% | Expected FG% | FG points over expected / 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andreas Obst | FCB | 146 | 47.9 | 36.6 | +31.8 |
| 2 | Spencer Reaves | VEC | 138 | 46.4 | 37.8 | +25.2 |
| 3 | Matt Thomas | BER | 216 | 48.6 | 39.3 | +23.7 |
| 4 | Christian Sengfelder | BON | 192 | 54.2 | 45.7 | +17.9 |
| 5 | Joschka Ferner | VEC | 226 | 44.2 | 38.5 | +17.9 |
| 6 | Wesley van Beck | CHE | 347 | 47.8 | 41.1 | +17.2 |
| 7 | Thomas Kennedy | BON | 180 | 70.0 | 59.9 | +16.9 |
| 8 | Tim Schneider | BER | 190 | 58.4 | 51.1 | +16.4 |
| 9 | Chaundee Brown Jr. | OLD | 168 | 53.6 | 46.3 | +16.2 |
| 10 | Otis Livingston II | WUE | 486 | 50.6 | 44.0 | +16.1 |
| 11 | Noah Kirkwood | BON | 281 | 48.4 | 41.3 | +15.9 |
| 12 | Isaac Bonga | FCB | 173 | 54.3 | 47.7 | +15.3 |
| 13 | Aleksander Dziewa | HAM | 199 | 63.3 | 54.1 | +15.2 |
| 14 | Zachary Seljaas | WUE | 229 | 52.0 | 46.1 | +14.3 |
| 15 | Chip Flanigan | VEC | 219 | 48.4 | 42.9 | +14.1 |
| 16 | Tyler Nelson | HRO | 368 | 46.2 | 40.9 | +13.7 |
| 17 | Nick Weiler-Babb | FCB | 127 | 40.9 | 37.2 | +13.1 |
| 18 | Ryan Schwieger | VEC | 241 | 48.5 | 43.5 | +12.1 |
| 19 | Vincent Kesteloot | HDB | 122 | 58.2 | 51.3 | +11.7 |
| 20 | Ejiofor Onu | BAM | 184 | 62.0 | 55.2 | +11.3 |
| 21 | Savion Flagg | BON | 233 | 53.6 | 48.7 | +11.1 |
| 22 | Vladimir Lucic | FCB | 115 | 46.1 | 40.9 | +11.1 |
| 23 | Leandro Bolmaro | FCB | 169 | 50.9 | 45.5 | +11.1 |
| 24 | Maximilian Ugrai | WUE | 165 | 54.5 | 48.2 | +11.0 |
| 25 | Devin Booker | FCB | 156 | 54.5 | 49.5 | +10.9 |
Ranked over 147 qualified players. This measures field-goal points over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.
Seasons covered: 2023-24 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.