Fletcher Magee led ABA Liga in shot-making in 2021-22 at +33.8 field-goal points over expected per 100 possessions. Shot quality is already priced out, so this is shooting alone.
| # | Player | Team | FGA | FG% | Expected FG% | FG points over expected / 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fletcher Magee | SC Derby | 210 | 49.5 | 36.5 | +33.8 |
| 2 | Yam Madar | Partizan | 168 | 52.4 | 41.2 | +19.6 |
| 3 | Rok Stipčević | Krka | 257 | 46.3 | 38.6 | +19.2 |
| 4 | Tay Waller | Igokea | 266 | 44.0 | 37.3 | +18.8 |
| 5 | Dallas Moore | Partizan | 194 | 51.0 | 42.7 | +18.6 |
| 6 | Dennis Jerome Seeley | Budućnost | 230 | 46.1 | 38.9 | +18.0 |
| 7 | Kyle Vinales | SC Derby | 154 | 48.1 | 38.8 | +16.9 |
| 8 | Boriša Simanić | Mega | 189 | 48.7 | 42.6 | +16.9 |
| 9 | Markel Starks | Igokea | 114 | 47.4 | 40.3 | +16.3 |
| 10 | Taylor Smith | Mornar-Barsko zlato | 133 | 71.4 | 62.1 | +15.6 |
| 11 | Danko Branković | Cibona | 167 | 64.1 | 55.9 | +15.1 |
| 12 | Kenan Kamenjaš | SC Derby | 247 | 63.2 | 54.5 | +14.0 |
| 13 | Zach LeDay | Partizan | 284 | 51.1 | 45.1 | +13.8 |
| 14 | Nathan Wolters | Crvena zvezda | 234 | 49.6 | 43.3 | +13.0 |
| 15 | Toni Nakić | Cibona | 131 | 44.3 | 41.0 | +12.6 |
| 16 | Marko Pecarski | Borac | 218 | 52.3 | 48.1 | +11.2 |
| 17 | Ognjen Dobrić | Crvena zvezda | 226 | 45.1 | 41.4 | +10.5 |
| 18 | Willie Reed | Budućnost | 136 | 64.7 | 59.2 | +9.6 |
| 19 | Alen Omić | Cedevita Olimpija | 127 | 59.8 | 54.3 | +9.4 |
| 20 | Garrett Nevels | FMP | 176 | 47.7 | 42.3 | +9.4 |
| 21 | Balša Koprivica | Partizan | 115 | 63.5 | 57.7 | +9.4 |
| 22 | Luka Mitrović | Crvena zvezda | 185 | 60.0 | 54.2 | +9.0 |
| 23 | Jose Vildoza | Cibona | 156 | 39.7 | 36.6 | +8.7 |
| 24 | Nathan Reuvers | Cibona | 203 | 50.2 | 45.7 | +8.3 |
| 25 | Edo Murić | Cedevita Olimpija | 229 | 43.2 | 40.6 | +7.4 |
Ranked over 105 qualified players. This measures field-goal points over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.
Seasons covered: 2020-21 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.