Marko Jošilo led ABA Liga in shot-making in 2020-21 at +26.0 field-goal points over expected per 100 possessions. Shot quality is already priced out, so this is shooting alone.
| # | Player | Team | FGA | FG% | Expected FG% | FG points over expected / 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marko Jošilo | Igokea | 184 | 54.3 | 44.7 | +26.0 |
| 2 | Jure Škifić | Krka | 182 | 51.1 | 41.7 | +20.6 |
| 3 | Jarrod Jones | Cedevita Olimpija | 197 | 48.2 | 41.9 | +18.4 |
| 4 | Ivan Novačić | Cibona | 154 | 48.1 | 42.1 | +18.2 |
| 5 | Roko Leni Ukić | Cedevita Olimpija / Split | 131 | 48.9 | 42.0 | +17.8 |
| 6 | Nejc Barič | Krka | 172 | 46.5 | 39.3 | +17.8 |
| 7 | Marko Pecarski | FMP | 142 | 57.7 | 50.7 | +17.8 |
| 8 | Aleksandar Bursać | Zadar | 139 | 58.3 | 49.1 | +16.0 |
| 9 | Danilo Nikolić | Budućnost | 214 | 45.8 | 38.9 | +15.3 |
| 10 | Ognjen Dobrić | Crvena zvezda | 278 | 46.8 | 42.2 | +13.6 |
| 11 | Taylor Smith | Mornar-Barsko zlato | 150 | 74.0 | 65.5 | +13.6 |
| 12 | Justin Cobbs | Budućnost | 295 | 51.9 | 44.0 | +13.5 |
| 13 | Kenneth Gabriel | Mornar-Barsko zlato | 134 | 47.0 | 42.5 | +13.1 |
| 14 | Edo Murić | Cedevita Olimpija | 146 | 47.9 | 43.0 | +11.6 |
| 15 | Marcus Paige | Partizan | 152 | 40.8 | 38.9 | +10.1 |
| 16 | Dušan Miletić | Borac | 122 | 62.3 | 55.0 | +9.9 |
| 17 | Filip Petrušev | Mega | 319 | 58.0 | 52.8 | +9.7 |
| 18 | Jacob Pullen | Mornar-Barsko zlato | 216 | 46.8 | 43.1 | +9.4 |
| 19 | Langston Hall | Crvena zvezda | 114 | 47.4 | 42.4 | +9.2 |
| 20 | Rion Cortez Brown | Cedevita Olimpija | 155 | 47.7 | 43.6 | +8.9 |
| 21 | Marko Jeremić | Mornar-Barsko zlato | 132 | 38.6 | 37.1 | +7.8 |
| 22 | Dejan Davidovac | Crvena zvezda | 195 | 47.2 | 43.8 | +7.8 |
| 23 | Ognjen Jaramaz | Partizan | 165 | 46.7 | 44.3 | +6.6 |
| 24 | Kodi Justice | Zadar | 140 | 42.1 | 39.1 | +6.2 |
| 25 | Corey Walden | Crvena zvezda | 196 | 44.4 | 42.6 | +6.1 |
Ranked over 85 qualified players. This measures field-goal points over expected per 100 possessions; it does not separate playstyle, skill and officiating, and it is not a causal claim about any of them.
Seasons covered: 2020-21 to 2025-26. What this metric is and what it misses: definition.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.