Whether shots taken against a defence went in less often than their quality implied.
| Lowest | 10th | Median | 90th | Highest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -7.96 | -2.96 | -0.02 | 3.19 | 6.59 |
Split-half reliability 0.717, the noisiest of the three pillars. The site orders the pillars by measured reliability with each figure attached, so this one cannot be mistaken for the solid one.
Most of what looks like suppression over one season is shooting variance by the opponent.
Measured in points per shot below expectation, for a team.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.