ARI 79-61 LAV, game 96 of 2024-25

Did the better shots win?

No. ARI beat LAV 79-61, but LAV's shots were worth 89.6 points to ARI's 82.5.

ARI 79-61 LAV, game 96 of 2024-25: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ARI	60	62	64.6	17/26	17.9	79	82.5
LAV	66	49	73.9	12/22	15.7	61	89.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.