ARI 84-86 KOL, game 90 of 2024-25

Did the better shots win?

No. KOL beat ARI 86-84, but ARI's shots were worth 91.9 points to KOL's 83.8.

ARI 84-86 KOL, game 90 of 2024-25: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ARI	73	71	81.4	13/14	10.5	84	91.9
KOL	64	71	66.2	15/24	17.7	86	83.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.