PAN 92-78 ARI, game 86 of 2024-25

Did the better shots win?

Neither side had the better shots. PAN beat ARI 92-78, and the shots on each side were worth 78.8.

PAN 92-78 ARI, game 86 of 2024-25: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PAN657561.417/2317.49278.8
ARI585858.420/2820.47878.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.