MAR 73-78 ARI, game 55 of 2024-25

Did the better shots win?

No. ARI beat MAR 78-73, but MAR's shots were worth 85.5 points to ARI's 69.0.

MAR 73-78 ARI, game 55 of 2024-25: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MAR	64	56	67.3	17/25	18.2	73	85.5
ARI	60	65	56.2	13/17	12.8	78	69.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.