AEK 91-68 PBC, game 53 of 2024-25

Did the better shots win?

No. AEK beat PBC 91-68, but PBC's shots were worth 86.3 points to AEK's 85.0.

AEK 91-68 PBC, game 53 of 2024-25: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
AEK	62	74	69.1	17/21	15.9	91	85.0
PBC	64	57	74.8	11/16	11.5	68	86.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.