PAN 11-14 OLY, game 39 of 2024-25

Did the better shots win?

No. OLY beat PAN 14-11, but PAN's shots were worth 14.8 points to OLY's 14.1.

PAN 11-14 OLY, game 39 of 2024-25: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PAN13711.74/43.11114.8
OLY121313.31/10.81414.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.