KOL 84-91 PAO, game 28 of 2024-25

Did the better shots win?

No. PAO beat KOL 91-84, but KOL's shots were worth 81.3 points to PAO's 74.8.

KOL 84-91 PAO, game 28 of 2024-25: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
KOL	65	75	71.0	9/14	10.3	84	81.3
PAO	54	75	59.1	16/22	15.6	91	74.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.