ARI 86-75 PRO, game 18 of 2024-25

Did the better shots win?

No. ARI beat PRO 86-75, but PRO's shots were worth 84.3 points to ARI's 81.7.

ARI 86-75 PRO, game 18 of 2024-25: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ARI	58	74	67.0	12/21	14.7	86	81.7
PRO	64	59	67.5	16/23	16.8	75	84.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.