ARI 72-74 MAR, game 12 of 2024-25

Did the better shots win?

No. MAR beat ARI 74-72, but ARI's shots were worth 90.6 points to MAR's 85.6.

ARI 72-74 MAR, game 12 of 2024-25: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ARI	66	56	73.9	16/23	16.7	72	90.6
MAR	55	49	60.2	25/34	25.5	74	85.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.