OLY 71-78 PAO, game 11 of 2024-25

Did the better shots win?

No. PAO beat OLY 78-71, but OLY's shots were worth 81.7 points to PAO's 70.2.

OLY 71-78 PAO, game 11 of 2024-25: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OLY	62	60	70.1	11/15	11.6	71	81.7
PAO	60	69	61.3	9/12	8.8	78	70.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.