MAR 80-84 PRO, game 5 of 2024-25

Did the better shots win?

No. PRO beat MAR 84-80, but MAR's shots were worth 83.0 points to PRO's 80.7.

MAR 80-84 PRO, game 5 of 2024-25: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MAR	65	65	68.3	15/19	14.7	80	83.0
PRO	56	57	55.0	27/34	25.7	84	80.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.