DGC 69-76 UCM, May 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. UCM beat DGC 76-69, and UCM's shots were worth 78.7 points to DGC's 75.8.

DGC 69-76 UCM, May 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DGC	57	58	63.5	11/16	12.3	69	75.8
UCM	67	69	71.8	7/9	7.0	76	78.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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