ILE 72-84 LLT, May 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LLT beat ILE 84-72, but ILE's shots were worth 73.1 points to LLT's 69.0.

ILE 72-84 LLT, May 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ILE545457.618/2015.57273.1
LLT556755.017/1714.08469.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.