UNI 104-93 UCM, May 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. UNI beat UCM 104-93, and UNI's shots were worth 94.3 points to UCM's 79.3.

UNI 104-93 UCM, May 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UNI	76	86	76.6	18/23	17.7	104	94.3
UCM	72	77	65.4	16/18	13.9	93	79.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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