BAR 98-72 ILE, May 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BAR beat ILE 98-72, but ILE's shots were worth 87.8 points to BAR's 81.1.

BAR 98-72 ILE, May 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BAR	60	85	65.9	13/20	15.2	98	81.1
ILE	74	67	83.4	5/6	4.3	72	87.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.