LLT 78-91 UNI, May 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. UNI beat LLT 91-78, but LLT's shots were worth 89.0 points to UNI's 83.7.

LLT 78-91 UNI, May 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LLT595569.623/2419.47889.0
UNI668173.810/139.99183.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.