K&U 93-104 BRE, May 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BRE beat K&U 104-93, but K&U's shots were worth 105.7 points to BRE's 98.3.

K&U 93-104 BRE, May 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
K&U	69	71	85.1	22/27	20.6	93	105.7
BRE	61	78	72.2	26/34	26.0	104	98.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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