BAR 83-81 UNI, April 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BAR beat UNI 83-81, but UNI's shots were worth 86.5 points to BAR's 73.0.

BAR 83-81 UNI, April 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BAR	52	58	51.5	25/28	21.6	83	73.0
UNI	70	69	75.7	12/14	10.8	81	86.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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