BRE 90-85 CAZ, April 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BRE beat CAZ 90-85, but CAZ's shots were worth 91.1 points to BRE's 81.4.

BRE 90-85 CAZ, April 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BRE628169.79/1511.69081.4
CAZ677480.711/1310.58591.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.